Professor Who Predicts Presidents: Biden ‘Absolutely’ Can Win

A historian who successfully has predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1984 says President Joe Biden “absolutely” can win reelection in November.

Allan Lichtman, distinguished professor of history at American University, said “it’s way too early to make a final prediction” regarding an expected 2024 general election race between Biden and former President Donald Trump, but added, “a lot would have to go wrong for Joe Biden to lose this election.” “I absolutely think Joe Biden can win a second term,” Licht man told the Britain’s Times Radio.

Lichtman spoke on Super Tuesday, when most polls showed Trump leading Biden in a hypothetical matchup. CBS News/YouGov poll results released during the weekend found Trump holding a 4-point lead over Biden.

Lichtman, though, said early surveys mean nothing.

“Take the early polls and do with them what the great British philosopher David Hughes said you should do with works of superstition – consign them to the flames,” Lichtman said. “They have absolutely no predictive value. There is so much yet to come.”

Looking at November’s election, Lichtman said North Carolina is “a must-win state” for Republicans.

“North Carolina has got a lot of Electoral College votes, it’s a fairly large state and although Republicans have done well recently in North Carolina, it does have a history of being a battleground state,” he said. “If Republicans can’t win North Carolina, they’re not going to win the presidency.” (Newsmax)